Post Image

Full IRA Repeal is Non-Negotiable

May 16, 2025

NEED TO KNOW

  • Check out TEA’s new website for the latest energy news and opinion, sorting Common Sense from the Nonsense.
  • TEA columnist: American energy should never be in question.
  • Congress’s fight over Trump’s agenda runs through Alaska.
  • Fifteen states sue over Trump’s move to fast-track oil and gas projects.
  • Energy companies seek exemption from Trump’s plan to move LNG on U.S.-built ships.
  • DOE proposes to cut rules in the ‘largest deregulatory effort.’
  • The U.S. imposes sanctions on companies that send Iranian oil to China.
  • Bernie Sanders’ private jet emissions revealed.
  • Trump Admin launches far-reaching audit of energy grants.
  • Much of U.S. at heightened risk of blackouts this summer.

COMMON SENSE

SMART MONEY BETTING ON NATURAL GAS TO POWER AI DEMAND: With AI and data center demand surging, natural gas is emerging as the most efficient, scalable energy source. It’s poised to become the nation’s top power provider.

Why it matters: The U.S. plans to build 80 new gas power plants by 2030. As AI drives electricity use to as much as 12% of total U.S. demand by 2028 (up from 4.4% today), affordable and reliable energy is critical.

It’s a two-way street, as AI also boosts gas and oil efficiency through predictive maintenance, drilling optimization, and more competent logistics.

Consider:

  • A Goldman Sachs report predicts that natural gas will supply approximately 60% of the power needed for data centers through 2030.
  • The electricity demand from one AI data center can rival the demand for a small city.
  • As data centers are built in New Jersey and New York, electricity demand is rising.

New York benefits from substantial hydro resources; New Jersey, betting on offshore wind and solar, is coming up short.

As Interior Secretary Doug Burgum bluntly stated: “We’re never gonna build an AI data center in New York or New England if natural gas costs three times more than in Pennsylvania.”

Natural gas remains essential. NRG’s $12 billion deal to acquire 18 gas-fired plants across nine states doubles its capacity in Virginia, where natural gas powers over half the state’s electricity. A new pipeline is in the works to meet that state’s growing data center demand.

Bottom line: AI requires power, and lots of it. The only way to meet rising demand without risking blackouts or price spikes is through rapid expansion of natural gas capacity.

 

NONSENSE

GRID RELIABILITY WARNING: A major grid operator is sounding the alarm over summer strain as demand spikes.

The culprit? A rush to shut down reliable fossil-fuel plants in states like Ohio and replace them with intermittent solar power in a region with limited sunshine.

Why it matters:

  • Ohio, once a power exporter, now faces potential shortfalls by 2027 if PJM’s grid isn’t upgraded.
  • Demand is soaring, driven by Artificial Intelligence, data centers, and manufacturing.
  • The National Weather Service forecasts a hotter-than-normal summer, further stressing the grid.

Consider: As the grid strain grows, Republicans in Congress are wavering on clean energy subsidies. The Senate is fighting to preserve parts of the Inflation Reduction Act, despite campaign promises to eliminate it.

Instead of terminating the IRA’s trillion-dollar handouts, dubbed the “Green New Scam,” its budget merely delays them, relying on easily-reversed “phaseouts” set to begin in four years.

This includes the most costly and market-distorting tax credits for wind and solar. These subsidies accelerate the shutdown of reliable power sources by pushing up consumer costs and destabilizing the grid.

Congress promised to kill the costly Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) energy subsidies. Instead, they’re preserving most of them under the guise of “phaseouts,” easily reversed by future political pressure.

These subsidies distort markets, drive reliable plants offline, and reward wind and solar even when they flood the grid with unwanted power—the result: hostile prices, rising costs, and a less reliable grid.

Energy expert Alex Epstein points out that the most important thing to know about a “phaseout” of subsidies is that, unlike the promised “termination” of subsidies, a “phaseout” is easily reversed by future Congresses under pressure from lobbyists.

Bottom line: The IRA’s subsidies for solar and wind are crippling grid reliability just as demand surges. Congress must fully repeal them before the grid buckles under the weight of bad policy.

 

A LOOK AHEAD

House Hearing On Interior Budget: On Tuesday, May 20, the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Interior, Environment, and Related Agencies will have a hearing on the fiscal year 2026 Department of the Interior budget.

Hearing On Inflation Reduction Act: On Tuesday, May 20, the House Oversight and Accountability Subcommittee on Economic Growth, Energy Policy, and Regulatory Affairs will have a hearing on “Mandates, Meddling, and Mismanagement: The IRA’s Threat to Energy and Medicine.”

House Hearing On EPA Budget: On Tuesday, May 20, the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Environment will have a hearing on the fiscal year 2026 Environmental Protection Agency budget.

Senate Hearing On EPA Budget: On Wednesday, May 21, the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee will have a hearing on the fiscal year 2026 Environmental Protection Agency budget.

Senate Hearing On Interior Budget: On Wednesday, May 21, the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Department of the Interior, Environment, and Related Agencies will have a hearing on the fiscal year 2026 Department of the Interior budget.

Senate Hearing On Energy Budget: On Wednesday, May 21, the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development will have a hearing on the fiscal year 2026 Department of the Energy budget.

 

QUOTE OF THE WEEK

“The IRA is a historic scam. Renewable companies are basically becoming shell corporations to extract hundreds of billions in tax credits for ‘investors’. These scam projects are coming up in rural communities that don’t want them. Energy prices will go up. Inflation will go up. Repeal it.”  

— Congressman Chip Roy (R-TX) on X.